Temperatures in Texas have risen almost 1.5˚F since the beginning of the 20th century (Figure 1). Less warming is expected under a lower emissions future (the coldest end-of-century projections being about 2☏ warmer than the historical average green shading) and more warming under a higher emissions future (the hottest years in the hottest end-of-century projections being about 10☏ warmer than the hottest year in the historical record red shading). Historically unprecedented warming is projected during this century. Observed temperatures are generally within the envelope of model simulations of the historical period (gray shading). Shading indicates the range of annual temperatures from the set of models. Temperatures in Texas (orange line) have risen almost 1.5☏ since the beginning of the 20th century. Projected changes for 2006–2100 are from global climate models for two possible futures: one in which greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase (higher emissions) and another in which greenhouse gas emissions increase at a slower rate (lower emissions). "This tropical system has a greater chance of gaining the next name on this year's hurricane list, Bonnie," senior meteorologist Courtney Travis wrote on AccuWeather's website Monday.Ī National Hurricane Center bulletin on Monday said "a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or so before the system reaches the Windward Islands Tuesday night or possibly while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday.Figure 1: Observed and projected changes (compared to the 1901–1960 average) in near-surface air temperature for Texas. Meteorologists at AccuWeather also are watching a more organized storm system heading west into the Caribbean Sea. Tropical storm activity could be our best hope for rain. The weak tropical low is trending eastward, the weather service said, adding that "this would mean that the best chances of rain will be across the east (of Interstate 35) with a sharp gradient of rainfall probably likely."įorecasters said they "will continue to watch trends regarding this low, but somewhere in Texas is likely going to get some beneficial rain, just depends where."Īustin's blistering summer weather of 2022 so far: Explained in four charts 4. "A weak low currently off the coast of southeast Louisiana will move west through mid-week, and as it encounters the frontal boundary, some development is possible," forecasters said in a bulletin earlier this week. The city is running about 1.2 inches below normal in total rainfall for June and about 6.2 inches below normal in cumulative rainfall for the year so far.Īny more precipitation will depend on how the cold front interacts with a system of low atmospheric pressure in the Gulf of Mexico. 1.18 inches in Cedar Park in southern Williamson Countyīut the weather service expects no more than a quarter-inch of rain in Austin during the course of the next few days, if that.1.66 inches in Caldwell County near Martindale.2.41 inches near Bastrop in Bastrop County.At the same point on the calendar this year, Austin's total is 22.Īfter a noisy round of scattered thunderstorms on Monday, Austin's rain gauges at Camp Mabry captured 1.68 inches of rain, breaking the previous daily record of 1.63 set in 1992.Īmong some of the highest reported rainfall totals from the weather service were: Here's some food for thought about the rest of summer: In 2011, the year Austin logged a record 90 days of triple-digit temperatures, Austin had seen only 17 days of 100-degree weather as of June 28. That's 22 days of triple-digit temperatures this year, when you count the first day of 100-degree weather on May 21 and the nine-day streak of such days earlier this month, according to weather service data. With a maximum temperature reading of 102, Austin on Monday logged its 21st day of 100-degree weather in June, breaking the record set in 2008 for the most 100-degree days in June.Īfter 12 straight days of triple-digit temperatures, Tuesday was the first day since June 15 that temperatures at Camp Mabry, site of Austin's main weather station, stayed below 100 degrees. Hot streak of 100-degree days ended Tuesday. According to the latest forecast from the National Weather Service on Tuesday, we got just those things this week. Seriously, though, we could use a break from the 100-degree temperatures and maybe get enough rain to remind us what that looks like. The June weather has been so brutally hot and dry, it's not even funny - except maybe when Austin's Twitter quipster observed: "The sun going behind a cloud for 3 minutes is the new rain for Austin." Watch Video: Triple digit heat for Austin
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